On-chain information exhibits the Bitcoin leverage ratio nonetheless has a really excessive worth, an indication that has normally confirmed to be bearish for the crypto in latest months.
Bitcoin Change Leverage Ratio Has Been Going Up In Current Weeks
As identified by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the BTC all exchanges leverage ratio continues to be fairly excessive, suggesting that the crypto might nonetheless see additional downtrend.
The “leverage ratio” is an indicator that’s outlined because the ratio between the open curiosity and the all derivatives change reserve.
Right here, the “open curiosity” is a measure of the whole quantity of Bitcoin futures positions presently open within the derivatives market.
And the “derivatives change reserve” is simply the whole variety of cash presently saved in wallets of all derivatives exchanges.
What the leverage ratio tells us is how a lot leverage customers are taking over common within the BTC futures market proper now.
When the worth of this indicator is excessive, it means customers are taking a considerable amount of threat within the type of leverage in the meanwhile. An extra of leverage normally results in larger volatility out there.
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However, decrease values of the ratio can lead to lesser relative volatility within the crypto’s worth since customers aren’t taking a lot threat.
Now, here’s a chart that exhibits the development within the Bitcoin all exchanges leverage ratio during the last yr:
The worth of the metric appears to have been fairly excessive in latest days | Supply: CryptoQuant
As you may see within the above graph, each time the Bitcoin leverage ratio has hit a steep worth over the past a number of months, each the indicator and the coin’s worth has subsequently plunged down.
Mass leverage flushes like these are known as “liquidation squeezes.” Throughout such occasions, liquidations cascade collectively and amplify the value transfer that triggered the squeeze.
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For the reason that worth moved in the identical path because the squeeze in these cases, they have been all examples of a “lengthy squeeze.”
It appears to be like just like the ratio’s worth is as soon as once more excessive proper now. If an analogous development as in the previous few months follows this time as nicely, then an extended squeeze could also be coming quickly and taking Bitcoin in for an additional plummet.
BTC Worth
On the time of writing, Bitcoin’s worth floats round $20.5k, up 4% within the final week. Over the previous month, the crypto has misplaced 30% in worth.
Seems to be like the worth of the crypto has been taking place over the previous few days | Supply: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured picture from mana5280 on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com